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Red61
413520.5
397030.3
69213.0
Blue12
132319.7
58515.5
263718.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58562040801006112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.1
28.428.5
Auto1.0
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 10.5
1323
#30
19.73.4
20.216.9
Auto0.6
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
4135
#16
20.50.1
17.217.3
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 1.8
2637
#14
18.73.4
20.016.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
692
#23
13.00.1
14.114.2
Auto0.8
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
585
#19
15.53.4
18.214.8
Auto1.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0