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Red83
471118.6
454329.6
418315.4
Blue48
23677.0
58117.8
464311.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492404060801001208348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.6
22.424.9
Auto1.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 11.8
581
#20
17.81.4
13.815.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
4711
#18
18.62.6
12.915.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 7.2
4643
#32
11.41.4
8.59.9
Auto1.7
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
4183
#36
15.42.6
12.014.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 8.3
2367
#45
7.01.4
6.47.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.7
End0.0