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Red26
388116.2
69213.0
425511.4
Blue12
7518.7
210230.8
44708.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415202060801001201401602612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#22
16.21.2
17.416.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 14.6
30.82.7
29.326.7
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
692
#23
13.01.2
14.213.0
Auto0.8
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 4.3
751
#34
8.72.7
11.48.7
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
4255
#27
11.41.1
12.511.4
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 2.7
4470
#39
8.72.4
11.18.7
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End0.0