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Red30
58515.5
135123.2
196712.0
Blue18
89.9
51349.8
242911.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52280204060801001201401603018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#15
23.21.0
22.521.6
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 11.8
2429
#41
11.40.6
11.911.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Second
585
#19
15.51.0
14.813.9
Auto1.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 5.6
8
#38
9.90.6
10.59.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
1967
#35
12.01.0
12.912.0
Auto0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 2.1
5134
#29
9.80.6
10.49.8
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End0.0