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Red28
302110.6
325026.2
501213.5
Blue20
237513.4
35940.5
10017.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315601001502820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.7
17.116.5
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 14.4
359
#2
40.52.8
29.426.6
Auto0.9
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
5012
#23
13.50.7
11.010.3
Auto0.6
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 4.3
100
#15
17.82.8
9.06.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
3021
#27
10.60.7
7.87.1
Auto0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2375
#21
13.42.8
15.412.5
Auto0.7
Teleop12.8
End0.0