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Red107
157231.3
97328.8
249316.6
Blue38
59719.4
248512.0
51075.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4145020608010012014016010738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.35.9
12.418.3
Auto0.1
Teleop31.2
End0.0
red by 11.9
597
#8
19.40.1
16.115.9
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
973
#4
28.85.9
20.025.8
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 16.8
2485
#36
12.00.1
24.324.2
Auto0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
2493
#16
16.65.9
10.316.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 11.1
5107
#34
5.50.1
5.45.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0