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Red30
50257.9
119716.7
39925.3
Blue2
114810.4
4574-0.6
33287.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52190406080100120140160302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#11
25.31.1
23.122.0
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 14.9
1148
#28
10.40.9
6.35.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Second
1197
#24
16.71.1
15.114.1
Auto0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 9.2
3328
#37
7.60.9
12.011.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
5025
#30
7.91.1
10.59.5
Auto0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 8.5
4574
#38
-0.60.9
6.85.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop-0.5
End0.0