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Red8
29424.2
347312.0
302110.6
Blue28
347014.9
491312.5
312818.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35300206080100120140828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#7
24.22.3
20.017.7
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 5.6
3128
#17
18.60.3
14.814.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
3473
#25
12.02.3
8.15.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3470
#20
14.90.3
9.49.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
3021
#27
10.62.3
7.14.8
Auto0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4913
#22
12.50.3
7.77.4
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0