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Red26
302110.6
39925.3
33287.6
Blue6
325026.2
97328.8
347312.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480100150266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#11
25.31.0
22.021.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 3.5
973
#4
28.82.0
26.524.5
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
3021
#27
10.61.0
4.83.8
Auto0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 15.6
26.22.0
15.613.6
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Third
3328
#37
7.61.0
11.110.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3473
#25
12.02.0
5.83.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0