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Red78
249316.6
347014.9
10017.8
Blue58
312818.6
249624.2
59719.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284202060801001201401607858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#15
17.83.9
6.610.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 6.4
24.21.4
11.512.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
2493
#16
16.63.9
15.719.6
Auto0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 2.8
597
#8
19.41.4
15.016.4
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
3470
#20
14.93.9
9.112.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 3.7
3128
#17
18.61.4
14.515.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0