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Red43
340813.4
4574-0.6
396520.1
Blue59
50257.9
49848.8
114810.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262004060801001201401604359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.4
15.016.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 9.7
1148
#28
10.43.1
5.28.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Second
3408
#26
13.41.4
9.911.3
Auto0.0
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
4984
#31
8.83.1
9.012.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
Third
4574
#38
-0.61.4
1.22.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop-0.5
End0.0
blue by 8.5
5025
#30
7.93.1
7.410.5
Auto0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0