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Red12
33287.6
405614.2
441316.4
Blue64
157231.3
35940.5
325026.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31710501001502001264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4413
#13
16.42.2
14.512.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 24.1
359
#2
40.50.3
27.927.7
Auto0.9
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
4056
#18
14.22.2
15.012.8
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 17.1
31.30.3
20.219.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Third
3328
#37
7.62.2
9.06.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 18.6
26.20.3
19.319.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0