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Red8
248512.0
249316.6
329518.3
Blue53
39925.3
347312.0
513611.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51330100150853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3295
#10
18.33.0
15.412.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 7.0
399
#11
25.31.3
23.524.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
2493
#16
16.63.0
19.716.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
3473
#25
12.01.3
5.36.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
2485
#36
12.03.0
14.611.6
Auto0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 0.5
5136
#33
11.51.3
8.19.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0