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Red17
302110.6
312818.6
119716.7
Blue20
248512.0
41619.8
340813.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060801001201720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#17
18.62.3
18.616.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 5.2
3408
#26
13.40.7
13.112.3
Auto0.0
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Second
1197
#24
16.72.3
18.416.1
Auto0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
2485
#36
12.00.7
11.610.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
3021
#27
10.62.3
10.17.7
Auto0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 0.8
4161
#29
9.80.7
10.710.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0