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Red59
183615.2
325026.2
51075.5
Blue108
347312.0
35940.5
347014.9
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3246020608010012014016059108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.8
19.120.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 14.4
359
#2
40.54.8
27.732.5
Auto0.9
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
1836
#14
15.21.8
13.515.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 0.3
3470
#20
14.94.8
11.416.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
5107
#34
5.51.8
3.25.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3473
#25
12.04.8
6.711.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0