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Red22
49848.8
347014.9
248512.0
Blue26
325026.2
41406.9
10017.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345601001502226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3470
#20
14.90.8
16.215.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 11.3
26.22.0
20.918.8
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
2485
#36
12.00.8
10.910.1
Auto0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 5.8
100
#15
17.82.0
20.318.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
4984
#31
8.80.8
11.310.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 1.9
4140
#32
6.92.0
13.010.9
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0