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Red64
329518.3
491312.5
441316.4
Blue74
157231.3
50257.9
312818.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374401001502006474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3295
#10
18.32.0
16.118.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 13.0
31.32.4
23.826.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
4413
#13
16.42.0
14.016.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 2.2
3128
#17
18.62.4
14.617.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4913
#22
12.52.0
9.211.3
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
5025
#30
7.92.4
6.38.6
Auto0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0