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Red68
157231.3
347312.0
347625.8
Blue55
97328.8
396520.1
49848.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555102040801001201406855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.7
26.126.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.2
End0.0
red by 2.5
973
#4
28.80.1
26.326.4
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
3476
#12
25.80.7
20.421.1
Auto0.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 5.7
20.10.1
19.019.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
3473
#25
12.00.7
10.210.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 3.2
4984
#31
8.80.1
8.58.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0