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Red67
164417.1
39925.3
249624.2
Blue28
51075.5
302110.6
491312.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6215040801001201406728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#11
25.30.6
22.222.9
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 12.8
4913
#22
12.51.0
11.312.3
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Second
24.20.6
18.519.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 13.6
3021
#27
10.61.0
7.68.6
Auto0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
17.10.6
15.716.3
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
5107
#34
5.51.0
4.35.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0