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Red210
173087.8
525465.5
372814.5
Blue123
481827.6
150163.4
17347.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16713050100150200250210123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.82.2
86.088.1
Auto15.0
Teleop72.8
End0.0
red by 24.4
1501
#21
63.40.9
64.863.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop63.8
End0.0
Second
5254
#10
65.52.2
67.769.9
Auto0.4
Teleop65.2
End0.0
red by 18.2
173
#45
47.30.9
50.749.8
Auto0.6
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
3728
#72
14.52.2
13.215.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 13.1
4818
#19
27.60.9
25.224.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0