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Red134
325631.3
562521.8
9338.4
Blue153
512250.3
457418.3
22572.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65151050100200250300134153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#52
38.42.6
35.337.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 33.6
225
#18
72.00.8
72.373.1
Auto4.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
Second
3256
#70
31.32.6
26.328.9
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 19.0
5122
#23
50.30.8
52.953.7
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
Third
5625
#66
21.82.6
19.722.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 3.5
4574
#47
18.30.8
17.518.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.8
End0.0