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Red164
571929.8
129656.7
333965.5
Blue143
540666.8
360457.2
551014.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133133130135140145150155164143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#15
65.51.3
59.260.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
66.80.3
66.767.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
Second
1296
#38
56.71.3
53.855.1
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3604
#34
57.20.3
55.756.0
Auto1.9
Teleop55.3
End0.0
Third
5719
#31
29.81.3
25.026.3
Auto0.3
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 14.9
5510
#60
14.90.3
15.215.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0