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Red180
448886.7
290528.4
228322.1
Blue178
2041.3
247151.3
449948.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221300200300400500600180178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.72.6
81.283.8
Auto-2.5
Teleop89.2
End0.0
red by 35.4
2471
#35
51.32.2
50.152.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
2905
#39
28.42.6
26.629.2
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 20.0
4499
#44
48.42.2
46.748.9
Auto1.7
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
2283
#73
22.12.6
20.122.7
Auto0.7
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 19.2
20
#46
41.32.2
37.139.3
Auto0.3
Teleop41.0
End0.0