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Red114
533840.0
1656.4
512250.3
Blue152
448886.7
171149.5
132573.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12318950100150250300114152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#24
56.41.2
50.949.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop56.8
End0.0
blue by 30.3
86.71.7
84.482.7
Auto-2.5
Teleop89.2
End0.0
Second
5122
#23
50.31.2
50.849.6
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
blue by 23.2
73.51.7
55.453.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Third
5338
#22
40.01.2
36.435.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
blue by 9.5
1711
#26
49.51.7
45.944.2
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0