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Red103
129656.7
498031.4
388025.6
Blue116
150163.4
46731.9
9338.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091220200300400500600103116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#38
56.70.6
61.060.4
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1501
#21
63.40.4
62.361.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop63.8
End0.0
Second
4980
#56
31.40.6
35.334.6
Auto0.4
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 7.0
93
#52
38.40.4
31.330.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
3880
#69
25.60.6
18.918.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 6.3
467
#43
31.90.4
30.730.3
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0