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Red77
562521.8
228322.1
449948.4
Blue98
551014.9
145831.8
354762.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871110501502002507798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#44
48.40.5
48.948.4
Auto1.7
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 14.0
3547
#16
62.40.6
63.062.4
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Second
2283
#73
22.10.5
22.722.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 9.7
1458
#68
31.80.6
32.431.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
5625
#66
21.80.5
22.321.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 6.9
5510
#60
14.90.6
15.514.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0