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Red162
505348.4
247151.3
8576.0
Blue156
208561.1
347837.0
207554.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17714350100200250162156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
76.00.8
76.575.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop76.5
End0.0
red by 14.9
2085
#33
61.10.1
62.562.6
Auto0.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
2471
#35
51.30.8
52.351.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop51.7
End0.0
blue by 3.2
2075
#13
54.50.1
54.454.5
Auto2.4
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Third
5053
#30
48.40.8
49.248.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0
red by 11.4
3478
#42
37.00.1
36.937.0
Auto0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0