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Red163
325631.3
237735.9
402855.0
Blue248
132573.5
151997.9
23655.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88235050150200300350163248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#17
55.02.4
52.655.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop55.7
End0.0
blue by 42.9
97.91.4
97.598.9
Auto15.3
Teleop82.6
End0.0
Second
2377
#50
35.92.4
33.535.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.1
End0.0
blue by 37.6
73.51.4
68.269.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Third
3256
#70
31.32.4
28.931.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 24.5
236
#9
55.81.4
54.656.0
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0