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Red132
9338.4
260127.0
24657.9
Blue219
188537.2
541641.1
448886.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110159050200250300132219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#27
57.90.5
57.457.9
Auto4.4
Teleop53.5
End0.0
blue by 28.8
86.73.1
83.886.9
Auto-2.5
Teleop89.2
End0.0
Second
93
#52
38.40.5
37.938.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5416
#12
41.13.1
38.041.1
Auto0.8
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Third
2601
#62
27.00.5
26.527.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 10.2
1885
#29
37.23.1
35.438.5
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0