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Red220
97360.4
151045.5
162947.9
Blue112
252139.4
46731.9
171149.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511150100200250220112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#7
60.43.7
59.363.0
Auto1.3
Teleop59.1
End0.0
red by 10.9
1711
#26
49.50.4
48.648.2
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
1629
#25
47.93.7
44.247.9
Auto6.0
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 8.5
2521
#63
39.40.4
39.839.4
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
1510
#37
45.53.7
41.745.5
Auto0.6
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 13.6
467
#43
31.90.4
32.431.9
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0