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Qual 172015 Carson Division
Red124
540666.8
458740.6
512250.3
Blue146
551014.9
173087.8
105838.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011750100200250124146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#8
66.81.3
58.2→56.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
blue by 21.0
1730
#4
87.81.0
76.3→77.2
Auto15.0
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
5122
#23
50.31.3
49.6→48.3
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
red by 11.5
1058
#48
38.81.0
40.4→41.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
4587
#58
40.61.3
42.0→40.7
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 25.8
5510
#60DQ
14.91.2
9.9→11.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0