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Qual 182015 Carson Division
Red154
99961.0
171149.5
394615.0
Blue169
247151.3
129656.7
124133.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106143050200250300350154169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#14
61.01.9
54.2→56.1
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
1296
#38
56.71.3
60.4→61.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
1711
#26
49.51.9
44.2→46.1
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0
blue by 1.8
2471
#35
51.31.3
50.3→51.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Third
3946
#67
15.02.3
17.6→19.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 18.6
1241
#49
33.61.3
32.0→33.4
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0