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Red133
525465.5
46731.9
347837.0
Blue186
354762.4
20358.8
1656.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122154050100200250300350133186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#10
65.50.1
57.257.2
Auto0.4
Teleop65.2
End0.0
red by 3.2
3547
#16
62.41.6
55.056.5
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Second
3478
#42
37.00.1
44.344.4
Auto0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 21.8
203
#11
58.81.6
49.751.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop59.1
End0.0
Third
467
#43
31.90.1
30.330.3
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 24.5
16
#24
56.41.6
49.751.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop56.8
End0.0