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Red148
130620.9
565932.1
6765.1
Blue140
253435.9
9338.4
449948.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10399406080120140148140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#20
65.12.1
62.264.2
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
red by 16.7
4499
#44
48.42.4
39.141.5
Auto1.7
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
5659
#61
32.12.5
31.133.6
Auto0.6
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 6.3
93
#52
38.42.4
30.933.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
1306
#59
20.92.5
13.315.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 15.0
2534
#55
35.92.4
33.435.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0