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Red139
512250.3
505348.4
55840.6
Blue194
260127.0
402855.0
97360.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510050150200139194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#23
50.30.2
48.348.6
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
blue by 10.1
973
#7
60.44.2
46.851.0
Auto1.3
Teleop59.1
End0.0
Second
5053
#30
48.40.2
45.345.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0
blue by 6.6
4028
#17
55.04.2
37.842.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop55.7
End0.0
Third
558
#40
40.60.2
40.440.7
Auto1.3
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 13.6
2601
#62
27.04.2
24.929.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0