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Red128
421521.6
448886.7
333965.5
Blue110
6058.5
562521.8
481827.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17272050100150200250128110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.71.7
83.481.7
Auto-2.5
Teleop89.2
End0.0
red by 28.2
60
#32
58.51.0
57.958.8
Auto0.4
Teleop58.1
End0.0
Second
3339
#15
65.51.7
53.451.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
red by 37.9
4818
#19
27.61.0
13.314.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
4215
#64
21.61.9
25.823.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5625
#66
21.81.0
19.620.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.3
End0.0