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Red138
457418.3
354762.4
17347.3
Blue153
151045.5
129656.7
2041.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89145050200250300138153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#16
62.41.8
56.558.4
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
red by 5.7
1296
#38
56.70.6
61.762.3
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
173
#45
47.31.8
42.144.0
Auto0.6
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
1510
#37
45.50.6
42.543.1
Auto0.6
Teleop44.9
End0.0
Third
4574
#47
18.31.8
2.74.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 23.0
20
#46
41.30.6
37.137.7
Auto0.3
Teleop41.0
End0.0