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Red111
105838.8
372814.5
449948.4
Blue138
533840.0
23655.8
46731.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91112050150200250300111138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#44
48.40.7
41.542.2
Auto1.7
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 7.4
236
#9
55.81.3
49.350.5
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Second
1058
#48
38.80.7
41.442.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5338
#22
40.01.3
32.834.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Third
3728
#72
14.50.8
14.515.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 17.4
467
#43
31.91.3
30.331.6
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0