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Qual 382015 Carson Division
Red150
188537.2
208561.1
55840.6
Blue139
505917.9
551014.9
151997.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710950100150200150139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2085
#33
61.10.6
63.7→64.3
Auto0.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
blue by 36.8
1519
#6
97.91.1
100.0→101.1
Auto15.3
Teleop82.6
End0.0
Second
558
#40
40.60.6
40.7→41.3
Auto1.3
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 22.7
5059
#51
17.91.1
6.7→7.8
Auto1.1
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
1885
#29
37.20.6
32.8→33.4
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 22.3
5510
#60
14.91.1
10.6→11.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0