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Qual 392015 Carson Division
Red172
421521.6
525465.5
348141.4
Blue206
207554.5
129656.7
505348.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105150050200250300172206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#10
65.52.8
61.3→64.0
Auto0.4
Teleop65.2
End0.0
red by 8.8
1296
#38
56.72.9
62.3→65.2
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
3481
#53
41.42.8
31.2→34.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 13.1
2075
#13
54.52.9
40.1→43.0
Auto2.4
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Third
4215
#64
21.62.8
23.8→26.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 26.8
5053
#30
48.42.9
45.6→48.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.8
End0.0