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Red98
188537.2
247151.3
145831.8
Blue142
173087.8
253435.9
2041.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10215805020025098142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#35
51.30.5
49.348.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop51.7
End0.0
blue by 36.5
87.80.6
78.878.2
Auto15.0
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
1885
#29
37.20.5
33.432.9
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 4.1
20
#46
41.30.6
37.737.0
Auto0.3
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Third
1458
#68
31.80.5
31.631.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 4.2
2534
#55
35.90.6
38.037.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0