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Red114
565932.1
290528.4
348141.4
Blue186
512250.3
354762.4
99961.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72177050100150200250300114186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#53
41.41.1
34.035.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 20.9
3547
#16
62.41.0
57.858.8
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Second
5659
#61
32.11.1
32.633.8
Auto0.6
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 28.9
999
#14
61.01.0
58.959.8
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Third
2905
#39
28.41.1
24.525.7
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 21.9
5122
#23
50.31.0
49.950.9
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0