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Red78
46731.9
554927.9
208561.1
Blue94
228322.1
39954.9
495310.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121790501001502007894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2085
#33
61.11.7
61.559.7
Auto0.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 6.2
399
#41
54.90.3
57.357.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop56.1
End0.0
Second
467
#43
31.91.7
33.031.2
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 9.8
2283
#73
22.10.3
22.122.3
Auto0.7
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
5549
#65
27.91.7
24.522.7
Auto1.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 17.6
4953
#71
10.30.3
9.29.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0