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Red128
260127.0
124133.6
253435.9
Blue111
41843.0
562521.8
360457.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91120050150200250128111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#55
35.91.5
37.438.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop36.9
End0.0
blue by 21.3
3604
#34
57.20.4
55.855.4
Auto1.9
Teleop55.3
End0.0
Second
1241
#49
33.61.5
32.133.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 9.4
418
#54
43.00.4
40.139.7
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Third
2601
#62
27.01.5
29.230.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
5625
#66
21.80.4
23.723.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.3
End0.0