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Red134
207554.5
23655.8
171024.2
Blue62
394615.0
2041.3
252139.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116915015020013462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#9
55.80.9
50.451.3
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
red by 14.5
20
#46
41.31.8
37.035.2
Auto0.3
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
2075
#13
54.50.9
43.043.9
Auto2.4
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 15.1
2521
#63
39.41.8
40.038.2
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
1710
#57
24.20.9
22.823.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 9.2
3946
#67
15.01.8
21.619.8
Auto-1.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0