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Red96
145831.8
347837.0
540666.8
Blue130
55840.6
448886.7
325631.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129144010020030040050060096130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.82.0
60.858.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
blue by 19.9
86.70.8
80.579.7
Auto-2.5
Teleop89.2
End0.0
Second
3478
#42
37.02.0
44.342.3
Auto0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 3.6
558
#40
40.60.8
41.340.5
Auto1.3
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
1458
#68
31.82.0
31.129.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 0.4
3256
#70
31.30.8
25.124.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0