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Red183
171149.5
20358.8
6058.5
Blue128
498031.4
458740.6
22572.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15013450100200183128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#11
58.81.5
52.453.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop59.1
End0.0
blue by 13.2
225
#18
72.00.1
71.371.2
Auto4.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
Second
60
#32
58.51.5
55.857.3
Auto0.4
Teleop58.1
End0.0
red by 17.8
4587
#58
40.60.1
38.138.1
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Third
1711
#26
49.51.5
44.746.2
Auto1.0
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 18.0
4980
#56
31.40.1
31.731.7
Auto0.4
Teleop31.0
End0.0