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Red128
347837.0
129656.7
565932.1
Blue184
132573.5
6058.5
97360.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125172050100150200250300350128184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#38
56.70.5
61.260.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
blue by 16.8
73.50.7
62.863.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Second
3478
#42
37.00.5
42.341.8
Auto0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 23.4
973
#7
60.40.7
50.451.1
Auto1.3
Teleop59.1
End0.0
Third
5659
#61
32.10.5
33.833.3
Auto0.6
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 26.3
60
#32
58.50.7
57.358.0
Auto0.4
Teleop58.1
End0.0