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Red202
394615.0
22572.0
333965.5
Blue210
541641.1
290528.4
173087.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212880100120160180200220202210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#18
72.02.9
71.274.1
Auto4.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
blue by 15.8
87.83.8
79.883.6
Auto15.0
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
3339
#15
65.52.9
53.656.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
red by 24.4
5416
#12
41.13.8
29.132.9
Auto0.8
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Third
3946
#67
15.02.9
19.822.6
Auto-1.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 13.4
2905
#39
28.43.8
25.729.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0