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Red206
533840.0
207554.5
402855.0
Blue134
145831.8
99961.0
9338.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312080100140160180200206134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#17
55.04.0
43.447.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop55.7
End0.0
blue by 6.0
999
#14
61.00.4
60.060.3
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
2075
#13
54.54.0
45.849.8
Auto2.4
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 16.1
93
#52
38.40.4
36.036.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
5338
#22
40.04.0
36.340.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 8.2
1458
#68
31.80.4
30.731.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0